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News & Editorials

Third Party Chess
How to Know If Your Non-Bush Vote Will Endanger Gun Rights

by Sean Oberle


This election, in trying to peel votes from RKBA-friendly third parties, the Republicans have upped the ante with “it’s the Supreme Court, stupid,” saying that an Al Gore presidency could spell disaster if he packs the court with judges unfriendly to gun rights.

The Republicans are correct. Moreover, this is an extremely tight race. Out tens of millions of votes, it could be decided by a few thousand ballots (see prediction at bottom). In fact, I’d loathe an Al Gore victory. The thought of it makes my stomach churn. I pray Bush wins. Does that mean I’m voting Bush?

Maybe. Maybe not. Maybe I’ll vote for Libertarian Harry Browne. I’ll decide on Election Day. How can I not be firmly in the Bush camp out of fear?

It’s the Electoral College, stupid. Here’s how it effects your third-party decision:

If you live in a “safe” Gore state (he’s ahead more than 10 points), there’s nothing you can do about your state’s electoral votes going to Prince Al. Decide now to vote your conscience; it’ll be good for you soul.

If you live in a “safe” Bush state (up more than 10 points), your third-party choice won’t take your state’s electoral votes away from Dubya. Decide now to vote your conscience.

If you live in a battleground state (race within 5 points), you very well may be one of those few thousand deciding votes. Your conscience will feel better if you vote strategically. Vote Bush. Heed well “it’s the Supreme Court, Stupid.”

If you live in a state, as I do, somewhere in between (6-10 point race), wait until Election Day to decide. A lot can change in a week. Dubya might need ya.


My prediction: Bush will win the Electoral College 290-248. He’ll also win the popular vote by at least by 500,000, perhaps breaking 2 million. But the race will be decided by just a few thousand votes in one or two states – thus my prediction will fall if gun rights activist fail to vote for him in battleground states. 

Don’t let make me look bad. My reputation is in your hands.

Sean Oberle is a featured writer with whose archive is kept here:  Distribution permitted and encouraged.  Please say you saw it first on


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Congress have no power to disarm the militia. Their swords, and every other terrible implement of the soldier, are the birthright of an American... The unlimited power of the sword is not in the hands of either the federal or state government, but, where I trust in God it will ever remain, in the hands of the people. — Tench Coxe, Pennsylvania Gazette, Feb. 20, 1788.

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